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Showing posts with label India. Show all posts
Showing posts with label India. Show all posts

Thursday, October 9, 2025

Love affair with motor vehicles in pre liberalisation India

 


                                                 

                                          https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Fiat_1100.jpg


For millennials, Gen Z and Gen Alpha, India of the very recent past may as well have been the proverbial land of snake charmers. With so many flashy car brands offering a host of cutting edge features buzzing up and down India’s many roads and highways across its many cities, towns and increasingly villages, they would conjure up images of a medieval dystopia about what was after all a very modern 20th century India with myriad outstanding achievements to its credit.


It is true that before the launch of the Indo- Japanese Maruti-Suzuki 800 in the early 1980’s most Indian cars and motor vehicles were outdated, sluggish and inefficient when compared with what was driven in other countries around the world, including our neighbouring ones. The liberalization of the Indian motor vehicle sector continued into the 1990s,  dazzling the people of the country with the world’s leading automobile brands. Apart from Suzuki, the likes of Honda, Kawasaki, Mazda, Opel, Ford, Chevrolet, Nissan, Isuzu, Daewoo and many other renowned motor vehicle legends graced the Indian roads ushering in the modern Indian automobile revolution. Today the Indian automobile market has some outstanding international and homegrown car brands to cater to the needs of the country's huge middle class and its increasingly large number of millionaires and billionaires. The roads of cities and towns throughout the length and breadth of India see all manner of cars these days- from the humble hatch backs to luxury vehicles from the stables of Mercedes, BMW, Audi, and Jaguar, not to speak of sporty SUVs where the bigger the better is the mantra.


But that does not mean that the pre-liberalisation generation of India did not have its own love affair with motor vehicles of which the country in fact boasted a rich tradition and history harking  back to the earliest days of the twentieth century. The maharajas and the British high officials of the day were the first ones to use automobiles in India. By the time the country gained independence, the well heeled among the local populace too started owning cars.


This was the era of premium luxury automobiles which reflected the class and status of their owners. Brands like Rolls Royce, Plymouth, Bentely, Chevrolet,and Buick were owned and flaunted by royalty and wealthy business people like the Parsees. Other well to do people had their Morris Minors the precursor to the grand old Ambassador car the emblem of pre liberalisation India of languid pace.


Some enterprising Indians would dazzle their compatriots by buying contemporary foreign brands of cars at auctions conducted by the State Trading Corporation and driving around the streets of large cities like Mumbai and Delhi. Imagine the looks of envy when someone would drive by in their massive Chevrolet Caprice among a sea of dreary  Ambassadors and Fiats!


The children who grew up in the 1970s to 1980s, however,  carry vivid memories of the era of stately and graceful, if lumbering vehicles that took them to their destination albeit not at today's frenetic speed to this day. It was the era of the great Indian triumvirate of Ambassador, Fiat and Standard cars which remained pretty much the same vehicle barring a few minor and cosmetic  upgrades from time to time for decade upon decade. Other much loved vehicles from that era were the Matador Van and the Jonga jeeps and the Shaktiman trucks, which were used largely  by the army. All the buses and trucks were from Tata and Ashok Leyland, save a few by Hindustan Motors and some by Dodge, which one saw occasionally.


Among the two wheelers, it was the Bajaj Chetak scooter that ruled the roost, alongside the stately Lambretta. The most coveted of the bikes was the Enfield Bullet 350, with its iconic thumping sound which the armed forces and the police forces of the country bought in large numbers. The Yezdi and Jawa bikes were also very popular among the young for their stylish appeal. The Rajdoot Mini, which Rishi Kapoor popularised in his debut film Bobby, was also quite popular with the young and trendy. Rajdoot also mass produced other bigger bikes for the masses, including milk-men who would attach large cans of milk to either side of a bike and go on their daily deliveries.


Three wheelers from Bajaj and Lamberetta became the poor man's taxi, with the larger Tempo three wheeler with its distinctive growl being used to ferry goods across short distances. 


These vehicles coexisted with bullock carts, cycle rickshaws and interesting hybrid vehicles like old American second world war leftover Hardly Davidsons being repurposed in Old Delhi as the iconic Phut Phut rickshaws capable of carrying six to eight passengers.


Automobiles had character in those times and people loved their cars and bikes dearly, almost like a family member, as they often were with them for years, sometimes even decades. It was a very different time, when cars didn't have air conditioning, but small electrically operated fans to circulate a weak breeze amongst the passengers. Other cars would show up with straw mats on the roofs of their cars on which their owners would spray water on hot summer days, to create some manner of primitive air conditioning. 


Those were indeed very different times, but splendid times, nevertheless. Like the old Dylan song goes- ‘the times,  they are a changin.” It's a pity they are.


Sunday, August 31, 2025

India-US Relations Beyond Trump's Tariffs

Image courtesy of Google's Gemini AI



While the whole nation seethes with righteous and definitely justified anger at the US President, Donald Trump's bizarre decision to impose an appallingly high 50% tariff on Indian goods imported into America, there is an  urgent need to look at the issue dispassionately and not get weighed down by emotion.
It is true that the reason for imposing an additional 25% tariff on the importing of cheap Russian oil by India is pure hypocrisy, as both China and Europe individually buy more energy from that country. Besides, the US itself trades with Russia in a not-so-insubstantial manner. To add insult to injury, Trump has also decided to cosy up to the quasi-dictator of Pakistan, Asif Munir. That being stated, the answer to the bullying tactics of the present American administration is not to rush into the arms of revisionist, dictatorial regimes like those of China and Russia. Add to that the fact that China has illegally occupied vast tracts of Indian land and continues to view India as a rival and a threat to its rise, we have every reason to tread carefully.
This is the same China that fully supported our belligerent Western neighbour, Pakistan, during Operation Sindoor. Russia is in no position to be a strategic asset for India, given that it is in the doghouse owing to its ill-advised Ukraine war. What’s worse is that it is beholden to China for its very survival. Besides, it has only caused trouble for India on account of its habit of invading nations here and there. Its entry into Afghanistan in the 1980s saw the rise of Islamist terrorism in India’s neighbourhood, and its invasion of Ukraine has thrown a spanner in budding Indo-US relations.
The Indian-US strategic relationship was carefully crafted over the last two decades and makes as much sense today as it did six months ago. That a mercurial US president, who has troubled relations with all of his nation’s allies and close friends, is giving India a lot of grief is undisputed, but that is something that the whole world is contending with. We have to remember that Trump is not America, and his handpicked team of lackeys who go along with his every mad whim and fancy.
There is the bureaucracy of that nation who haven’t changed its worldview just because an irrational and seemingly semi-literate demagogue is in charge for a few years. Nor have the right-thinking politicians on both sides of the aisle, and even former members of Trump’s first cabinet. Everyone is waiting to weather the Trumpian storm, and so should India. At the same time, India is doing the right thing by continuing to exercise its long-cherished strategic autonomy by seeking to expand trade relations with China and Russia, apart from similarly engaging with the affluent European Bloc of nations and the United Kingdom.
India, being the largest nation in the world in terms of population, has a tremendous advantage in that it has such a large market, which can not only help it grow economically even in the event of a fall in its export earnings, but it can also use that as leverage in conducting its global affairs. Not allowing free rein to the Americans in the Indian markets, in fact, lies at the heart of the current American decision to punish India with tariffs.
For all the current problems we are having with the Americans, there is much that binds the two former British colonies. The Americans supported India during its freedom struggle and provided it with much-needed food aid in the 1960s. Martin Luther King based his civil rights movement on Gandhi’s principles of non-violence.
It also helped us against the Chinese in 1962, and there have always been warm people to people contacts between the peoples of the  two countries. The English language and their status as the world’s most consequential democracies bond India and America in ways that are not possible with totalitarian states like Russia and China. The best and brightest Indian students have gone on to complete their higher studies in the most prestigious American colleges and found astounding success in America across myriad fields. Indian doctors, engineers, managers, CEOs, and IT professionals rule the roost in the United States of America.
The two countries bond culturally as well, with the American way of life slowly permeating across India’s cities as towns, as evidenced by the very large number of Mc Donalds, Burger KIngs, Pizza Huts, and other American style  fast food chains present everywhere. People drink Coca-Cola and  use American social media platforms in practically every part of India and draw their cultural cues from the West, and hardly from Russia and China. India, on its part, exercises its cultural influence on America through yoga and spirituality. This is not a relationship that is driven by the politicians, but the peoples of the two countries. We need to remember that when we react to the actions of the men of straw who call themselves leaders of America.
While protecting India’s interests by not succumbing to their rank bullying tactics, it is important not to throw the baby out with the bathwater. We should, in fact, look at the present impasse with regard to Indo-US relations as an opportunity to try and strengthen our domestic industries and seek out diverse export markets. At the same time, we should not shy away from the important economic reforms needed domestically and unshackle our private sector to grow boldly and ambitiously. We would also see if we can reduce the tariff we charge on our imports to encourage countries across the world to trade with us. That will also incentivise our local industries to become more efficient and give customers better value for money.
There is much that is being said about the 21st century being an Asian one, and that is not something lost on the Americans who would want to hold on to their position as the numero uno nation of the world for as long as possible. India is well positioned to continue being somebody that the US will benefit from engaging closely with. The Americans will come around. They have to if they have any sense. In the meantime, India should play its cards just right.

Thursday, June 12, 2025

The Ancient Trails-Chapter 3: The Promised Land and Beyond

 

Photo by Alex Agrico: https://www.pexels.com/photo/scenic-rural-landscape-with-mountains-and-pathway-32492678/

The three friends spent an agreeable one week in the biblical promised land visiting the sites and places they were familiar with due to their reading of their religious books, but it was a different experience actually going there smelling the air and getting a sense of the history of the place, first hand. Their sense of shared heritage made them feel equally comfortable at the Wailing Wall in Jerusalem and the church on the spot of Christ’s birth in Bethlehem.

Except for their acute awareness of the fact that they were in Biblical land and the very eastern ambiance of the old parts of the town they visited, they did not find Israel much different from what it was like back home, including the way people dressed and lived, except perhaps the language. They had heard of trouble with the Arab population, but they came across only the odd one in the market place and they did not seem too different from any other Israeli.

All in all it was quite a satisfying and pleasant one week’s stay and by the time they reached the Ben Gurion international Airport in Tel Aviv to catch their flight to Delhi, they were raring to set out on the adventure of their lives in India. Their jet took off smoothly and soon they were flying high above the troubled area of the Middle East in the direction of the Himalayas.

Six hours later the plane began to descend over New Delhi. Arnold who sat by the window seat looked down over the huge metropolis that is Delhi, and saw that it was a modern city littered with grand and large buildings some of which seemed old and the others absolutely brand new. He was surprised at the number of cars on the city’s roads, and very soon the plane approached the runway of the Indira Gandhi International airport, and landed with a mild thud. In no time they were at the exit, and the Delhi heat met them in their face.

“Man!”“Is it hot or what?” exclaimed Joseph who had never experienced such heat in his life. Neither had the other two and they squinted their eyes against a very harsh sun. Soon they were outside the upcoming new airport terminal building, which was getting a much needed facelift for the forthcoming Commonwealth games-a sort of a mini Olympics of former British colonies. They had been advised to hire prepaid taxis to their hotels, as there was no haggling over the fare and they were safer than the regular cabs.

Soon the cab was speeding its way towards the back-packers’ paradise in the Paharganj area of the city, opposite the New Delhi Railway Station. The drive from the airport to the hotel was a long one and the size of the city surprised the New Yorkers. They found New Delhi to have wide and well maintained roads, and a whole lot of cars and motor-cycles. After a fifty minute drive their car approached Connaught Place, a graceful piazza from British times, and going around the outer circle, took a left towards the congested area called Paharganj, that was a haven to backpackers from across the world.

Their hotel was called Vegas Sun and this brought a smile to the face of the Americans. They unpacked their bags in the two adjacent rooms that were allotted to them. The room on the left had a large bay window which opened into a courtyard with a graceful peepul tree, where there was a cafe of sorts. The friends decided to keep their bags in the next room and had an extra cot placed in the room so that they could be together.


Monday, June 9, 2025

The Ancient Trails-A book by Vipin Labroo (Chapter 2)

 

Chapter 2

Friends


Photo by Toa Heftiba Åžinca: https://www.pexels.com/photo/three-men-sitting-on-veranda-1194412/

Friends Joseph, Michael and Arnold were childhood friends who grew up in the same neighborhood in New York City, went to the same school, played basket ball together, dated more or less the same girls (separately, of course!), and then split up for a few years. Joseph and Michael went to different colleges and Arnold decided to become a truck driver because there was nothing he liked better than travelling.

They met up again at age twenty two in Joseph’s house reminiscing over childhood memories. The three had always been good friends ever since they got to know each other in kindergarten. Joseph and Michael were Jews while Arnold was a Catholic. Joseph’s father was a fairly successful stock broker and his mother taught at the school that the three boys went to. Both of Michael’s parents were also teachers in the same school. Arnold’s father was a clerk who worked in a store, while his mother looked after the home.

Michael and Joseph were reasonably good at studies because the parents of both the boys took an active interest in their studies Arnold’s father was a genial old man who never made any demands of his son, and his mother too focused on having a happy and pleasant home, and they pretty much left Arnold to his own devices. Consequently he took less interest in his studies and was more interested in finding out more about the world of grown-ups. His grades suffered, but he did not care much, as he had set his heart upon not going to college.

Sitting in Joseph’s old room strewn with childhood memorabilia the three friends engaged in comfortable banter over many cans of beer. The three really were inseparable, despite their having met each other only intermittently over the last four years. They had however kept in regular touch through telephone and email and knew what exactly was going on each others’ lives. The fact that they had no siblings of their own had made them even closer.

Joseph opened another can of beer and said, “Hey guys, before we get busy with our lives, marry and do the other stuff that people do let’s take a year off for ourselves. “Michael the quiet one nodded his head, “I agree, lets travel.”

Arnold raised a quizzical eyebrow at Michael, for he was not overly fond of travel unlike Arnold himself who lived to travel, “Didn’t think that would come from you. Where are we plannin’ to go?”

Joseph who as usual had everything already planned, smiled wickedly, and said, “We leave for Israel in fifteen days from now, where we do the rounds of the Jewish places of pilgrimage. Necessary because my old man always wanted me to and I don’t want to disappoint him. We spend a week there and then we are off to India.”

“India?,”asked Arnold in a surprised tone, “Is that a place to go?”

His information about India was a little fuzzy, imagining it to be some sort of an exotic country where people wore funny robes and turbans in the past and were now making a name for themselves with things like call centers and their film industry where they made some crazy song and dance movies.

Michael who was also the best informed of the lot, patiently explained, “India is home to a billion plus people, with one of the fastest growing economies in the world. It has some of the most breathtaking terrain in the world that includes the world’s mightiest mountain ranges the Himalayas, some of the world’s most breathtaking deserts and beaches, as also an amazing number of still extant medieval and ancient cities littered with old monuments. I guess we could go to places like the mountain state of Himachal Pradesh, the desert state of Rajasthan, the sun and sand state Goa — — “

“Whoa, whoa, whoaboy! We get the drift”, Arnold interjected. “India is a great place to go, and can’t wait to get there.

Thursday, April 18, 2024

Time for India to become a top nation by per capita income

 

Photo by Sohel Patel: https://www.pexels.com/photo/50-indian-rupee-banknote-68912/

India has doubtless achieved a seminal milestone by surpassing its erstwhile colonial master, the UK to become the 5th largest economy in the world with a $4.1 trillion[1] GDP to its credit. It is all set to become the third largest economy after the U.S. and China overtaking Germany in the next three years and even touch $7 billion by 2030. India is also a formidable space and nuclear power right there at the top among the US, Europe, China and Russia. Considering that India was an impoverished nation with an almost non-existent industrial base and often required foreign help to feed its people at the time of independence, its growth is very impressive indeed.

But the constant tom tomming of the nation's arrival on the world stage as a global colossus is misplaced and shows us in a very poor light. It is all very well for a nation of 1.4 billion people to aggregate an annual income of $4.1 billion, but the real test of a nation's prosperity is its wealth ranking in terms of per capita income. With a per capita income of $2848, India ranks a poor 143rd out of 195 countries.[2] The corresponding figure for the UK in contrast stands at $51,070 placing it at a creditable 21st place worldwide. India also fares quite poorly on the Global World Hunger Index at 111 out of 125 countries, despite the green revolution and the massive subsidized distribution of food grain.

It does not behove a nation of India's standing, capability and expertise to have to bear the stigma of such basic and fundamental problems. There needs to be a reorientation of priorities to ensure that there is equitable distribution of wealth allowing India to rapidly ascend the rankings as soon as possible. If India can send probes to the Moon, Mars and the Sun and think of staging the Olympic Games, it can surely devise the means to make the country truly rich in real terms. It is all a question of realigning one's priorities. If a first-world country like Australia can pass on the opportunity to stage the much smaller Commonwealth games because it thought that its funds could be put to better use in serving its people, perhaps India could defer its grandiose aspirations till the time that it at least comes near a middle-income status.


[1] https://cleartax.in/s/world-gdp-ranking-list

[2] https://statisticstimes.com/economy/country/india-gdp-per-capita.php#google_vignette


Friday, February 2, 2024

The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Employment in India

Photo by fauxels: https://www.pexels.com/photo/man-and-woman-near-table-3184465/

 

India with its 1.43 billion people is now inarguably the most populous nation in the world.[1] Of these 68%[2] (or about 970 million people) are in the working age of 15 to 64 years of age. The unemployment rate stood at 6.6% in 2021-22.  As many as a whopping 42% of India’s graduates under 25 were unemployed in the same period.[3]

Does the advent of AI-encompassing technologies like Generative AI threaten to inflate this number to catastrophic proportions? What does the future hold for India's unemployed millions (35 million in both 2021 and 2022)?[4] In a world of global uncertainties and changing power dynamics as well as realigning global supply chains, the state of the Indian economy and by extension its ability to provide gainful employment to millions of people of working age is an area of pressing concern.

The rollout of AI in India is in its initial stages but has nevertheless significantly affected employment in some sectors on account of its ability to automate several routine tasks. At the same time, it has created new opportunities in AI-related job functions. According to CNBC outsourced coders based out of India are slated to lose their jobs in about two years.[5] That may sound worrisome, but on the other hand, a survey conducted by the leading job site Indeed found that Indian companies and employers hold a positive outlook on the impact of AI on jobs. As many as 85% of the Indian companies who participated in the survey believed that AI would impact the job scene positively in the short term (next 5 years).[6]

This is borne out by the fact that the advent of AI has led to the creation of a whole host of opportunities in engineering, data science and machine learning, putting a huge premium on people possessing the required skill set. World Economic Forum assumes that AI will create 12 million more jobs for people than the ones it will displace. India is fortuitously placed to capitalize on it because it is home to 416000 AI professionals (August 2023 figures) against a demand of about 629000 such people. This figure is likely to hit 1 million by 2026 if one goes by a report by the Wheebox National Employability Test.[7]

Cause for anxiety

The promise of availability of plentiful employment across the short-term horizon notwithstanding there is genuine anxiety amongst employees and job seekers in the country about the impact of AI on their future prospects. These pertain to the need for them to reskill or upskill to stay relevant. Then there is the ever-present gnawing fear of facing redundancy on account of the adoption of AI.

For instance, the launch of Chat GPT in November 2022 made a whole host of professionals across the spectrum ranging from programmers and financial advisors to accountants and legal assistants fear for their jobs. People would naturally feel alarmed when leading financial institutions like Goldman Sachs anticipate AI impacting if not altogether eliminating as many as 300 million jobs.[8]

Conclusion

Viewed objectively, the adoption of AI by businesses in India will require some realignment regarding roles and the need for reskilling but will end up creating way more opportunities than any marginal displacements. It opens up huge opportunities for savvy entrepreneurs to leverage it to offer way better products and offer far more efficient services. Doing so will create more employment not just by way of AI professionals needing to be deployed, but also by creating whole new categories of products and services, that one can't even conceive of right now.

When computers first arrived on the scene people thought that banks would stop hiring people, but the sector realigned itself and expanded like never before, giving rise to the fintech industry that is revolutionizing banking services in ways not thought possible in the past. The future is bound to be good for the youth of this country- Artificial Intelligence will ensure that it is so.



[1] https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/india-population/

[2] [2] https://www.businesstoday.in/india-at-100/story/inclusive-india-2047-empowering-the-demographic-dividend-395359-2023-08-24

 

[3] https://indianexpress.com/article/business/42-3-of-graduates-under-25-unemployed-finds-latest-state-of-working-india-report-8949124/

[4] https://www.newindianexpress.com/web-only/2023/Jul/29/the-19-million-plus-question-has-finding-a-job-in-india-gotten-harder-or-easier-2599577.html

[5] https://www.businesstoday.in/technology/news/story/ai-will-take-away-jobs-of-outsourced-coders-in-india-in-next-2-years-stability-ai-ceo-390384-2023-07-19

[6] https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/jobs/mid-career/ai-to-have-positive-short-term-impact-on-jobs-finds-global-survey/articleshow/104471561.cms?from=mdr

[7] https://www.livemint.com/ai/artificial-intelligence/ai-in-india-jobs-evolved-not-erased-opportunity-and-reskilling-key-experts-claim-11703326684794.html

[8] https://www.thehindu.com/sci-tech/technology/ai-anxiety-workers-fret-over-uncertain-future/article67157022.ece

Tuesday, December 26, 2023

India Should Diversify Its Energy Sources

Photo by Pok Rie: https://www.pexels.com/photo/black-metal-current-posts-157827/

 

India is the third highest consumer of energy after China and the United States consuming 36.44 exajoules to 159.39 exajoules and 95.91 exajoules consumed by the latter respectively.[1] Securing the growing energy needs of this vast land is of prime importance if India is to reach its desired position amongst the top few nations of the world, as befits its size, history and aspirations. This is challenging in the best of times, but especially in the new global scenario which is seeing the rapid melting down of old certainties.

With the US retreating into itself and no longer desiring to be the global guarantor of the painstakingly created global world order and the emergence of a belligerent and expansionist China hell-bent on imposing its own version of a global world order dominated by them, India has its task cut out in charting an economic and foreign policy that best suits its interests. Diversifying its energy sources has to be at the top of its priorities.

India at present imports 85% of its oil, largely from the Middle East and Russia-regions that are fraught with geo-political tensions, including ongoing wars. That India is not immune from strife that afflicts other regions is clear from the West’s attempts to stop India from buying Russian oil and more recently the attack on a vessel off the coast of the Indian state of Gujarat carrying crude oil to India.

India needs to take a cue from the United States which is no longer an importer of oil and is totally energy independent, thanks in no small measure to the shale revolution witnessed by the country. As a matter of fact, the US is now a net oil exporter. While replicating that might seem like a tall order, nothing is impossible if one thinks through a plan that becomes a national priority. India was an importer of food grain in the 1960s and didn’t grow enough to meet the requirements of its people. All of that changed with the Green Revolution and today India is a food surplus nation that exports grain-a far cry from the days it had to receive grain in the shape of aid.

 

It is time that the nation made energy self-sufficiency a national priority. The first step in such a mission would be to diversify the sources of energy. The Indian government for its part has launched an ambitious energy security strategy which involves substantially increasing the use of petrol blended with ethanol, looking at alternative sources of energy, striving for a gas-based economy and promoting the use of green hydrogen.[2]

 

There is some potential of India exploiting its shale resources to obtain oil, but the activity should be carried out with due caution after taking into account ant environmental concerns that might arise on account of it. Solar energy on the other hand is as clean a source of energy as it possibly can get. Besides, India gets a lot of sun, unlike many other countries in the Northern Hemisphere that do not. According to the National Institute of Solar Energy (NISE), India boasts a solar energy potential of 748 GW, if one were to assume 3% of waste land could be utilized for installing Solar PV modules.[3] The other important source of clean renewable energy has a lot going for it too. India already ranks fourth after China, the United States and Germany in terms of installed wind capacity at 42.8 GW (on-shore) as of April of 2023. Furthermore, the National Institute of Wind Energy has estimated that India has a wind power potential of around 695.5 GW at 120 metres above ground level and 1164 GW metres above ground level.[4]

As for green hydrogen, it may not be a very viable source of energy at present owing to its high cost of production at $3.6 to $5.8 a kg, bringing it down to between $1 to $2 by the end of the decade will not only make it the most affordable source of energy in the world but also make it possible for India to export it.[5] Another source of natural perennial energy in the country is geothermal energy. According to the records of the Geological Survey of India, there are some 340 hot water springs in India. All in all, one can look at the potential of generating 10600 MW of energy using this source of energy.[6]

The future energy map of India should be a diverse and self-reliant one that provides that nation with the wherewithal to stand on its own and char its destiny unaffected by geopolitical tailwinds and headwinds. This is something that should be looked at in a holistic and long-term manner using the best minds and most cutting-edge technology to achieve. Once done, the nation will inexorably reach its destiny. Right there at the top, not as an expansionist hegemonic power, but as a self-reliant gentl


[1] https://www.statista.com/statistics/263455/primary-energy-consumption-of-selected-countries/#:~:text=China%20is%20the%20largest%20consumer,such%20as%20oil%20and%20coal.

[2] https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1889967#:~:text=Petroleum%20%26%20Natural%20Gas-,India's%204%2Dplank%20energy%20security%20strategy%20is%20based%20on%20diversifying,by%202025%3A%20Hardeep%20Singh%20Puri.

[3] https://www.mondragon-assembly.com/?taxonomy=&term=noticias

[4] https://www.drishtiias.com/daily-updates/daily-news-analysis/india-wind-energy-potential#:~:text=Wind%20resource%20assessment%20by%20the,ground%20level%20across%20the%20nation.

[5] https://www.forbesindia.com/article/innovation/green-hydrogen-can-help-india-meet-its-netzero-ambitions-how-long-before-a-real-impact-is-seen/87937/1

[6] https://prepp.in/news/e-492-geothermal-energy-in-india---geography-notes

Monday, November 6, 2023

India should become an energy-independent nation

                                    Photo by Narcisa Aciko: https://www.pexels.com/photo/photo-of-wind-turbines-lot-1292464/

We live in a world that has become dangerously fraught with messy wars and conflicts in different parts of the world threatening to jeopardise a global order that had largely ensured peace in large parts of the globe in the decades since the end of the Second World War. In fact, the end of the Cold War between the West and the Soviet Union and its allies had raised the hopes of a permanent peace finally descending on most parts of our planet.

Alas, that was not to be as the events over the past two or three decades have shown us. It was the US that was the moving force behind the global order that ushered in peace, trade and unprecedented prosperity in more parts of the world than had ever been the case in the long history of mankind. The end of the Cold War led to the US losing interest in becoming the global guarantor of peace and security. Its involvement in the Middle East via the two Gulf Wars and Afghanistan was on account of the US needing to respond to the 9/11 terrorist attacks came to an end as soon as its strategic objectives were achieved.

The US today is more inward-looking than it was before its forced entry into the Second World War and focused mainly on securing the interests of its own people. The events in Ukraine and Israel may have forced it to engage more deeply with NATO and the Middle East for now, but it is not a long-term area of interest for it. The Americans are more deeply concerned with stymying the threat emerging from an increasingly aggressive and belligerent China that seeks to topple the US from its perch at the top-economically and militarily. For that, it has decided to ally with countries like India, Australia and Japan that lie in the Indo-Pacific region to contain the dragon and ensure that it does not flap its wings around the world the way it wants to.

This has more to do with ensuring that nothing threatens the US's preeminent position in the world and that it continues to be a hugely wealthy and powerful nation capable of exercising its writ around the world. That suits the Indo-Pacific nations as well as most of the world since it is a liberal democracy that offers a better way of doing things than the draconian and repressive way followed by totalitarian and despotic China.

The biggest advantage that the US has over most parts of the world is that it is totally self-sufficient when it comes to food and energy. That is something that the largest democracy in the world India could learn from the oldest continuous democracy in the world-the USA. It has already to its huge credit (considering it is the most populous country in the world) achieved self-sufficiency in the former. It is in becoming an energy-independent nation that India will find its true destiny.

The nation currently imports 84% of its crude oil requirements, leaving the economy susceptible to inflationary pressures on account of price and supply fluctuation in international energy markets.[1] The Economic Survey which was released some time back laid out an ambitious plan for making India energy-independent by 2047 and it hasn't come a day moment too soon in a nation of 140 billion people with gargantuan energy needs. As a matter of fact, a study released by the US Department of Energy's National Berkeley Lab came out with a report that India could achieve energy independence by 2047 with the help of clean technology.[2]

This may seem like a tall order but is eminently doable considering that most of the energy infrastructure required to meet its burgeoning energy needs is still to be built. There is an almost two-decade window of time to achieve this much-required and desired transition from fossil fuels to clean and environmentally friendly sources of energy. Doing so will enormously benefit India- economically, environmentally and strategically. It would be in a position of strength largely unrivalled in the world

 

 



[1] https://groww.in/blog/where-does-india-get-its-oil-supply

[2] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/blogs/the-write-wing/indias-energy-independence-by-2047-a-certainty/