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Showing posts with label energy independence. Show all posts
Showing posts with label energy independence. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 26, 2023

India Should Diversify Its Energy Sources

Photo by Pok Rie: https://www.pexels.com/photo/black-metal-current-posts-157827/

 

India is the third highest consumer of energy after China and the United States consuming 36.44 exajoules to 159.39 exajoules and 95.91 exajoules consumed by the latter respectively.[1] Securing the growing energy needs of this vast land is of prime importance if India is to reach its desired position amongst the top few nations of the world, as befits its size, history and aspirations. This is challenging in the best of times, but especially in the new global scenario which is seeing the rapid melting down of old certainties.

With the US retreating into itself and no longer desiring to be the global guarantor of the painstakingly created global world order and the emergence of a belligerent and expansionist China hell-bent on imposing its own version of a global world order dominated by them, India has its task cut out in charting an economic and foreign policy that best suits its interests. Diversifying its energy sources has to be at the top of its priorities.

India at present imports 85% of its oil, largely from the Middle East and Russia-regions that are fraught with geo-political tensions, including ongoing wars. That India is not immune from strife that afflicts other regions is clear from the West’s attempts to stop India from buying Russian oil and more recently the attack on a vessel off the coast of the Indian state of Gujarat carrying crude oil to India.

India needs to take a cue from the United States which is no longer an importer of oil and is totally energy independent, thanks in no small measure to the shale revolution witnessed by the country. As a matter of fact, the US is now a net oil exporter. While replicating that might seem like a tall order, nothing is impossible if one thinks through a plan that becomes a national priority. India was an importer of food grain in the 1960s and didn’t grow enough to meet the requirements of its people. All of that changed with the Green Revolution and today India is a food surplus nation that exports grain-a far cry from the days it had to receive grain in the shape of aid.

 

It is time that the nation made energy self-sufficiency a national priority. The first step in such a mission would be to diversify the sources of energy. The Indian government for its part has launched an ambitious energy security strategy which involves substantially increasing the use of petrol blended with ethanol, looking at alternative sources of energy, striving for a gas-based economy and promoting the use of green hydrogen.[2]

 

There is some potential of India exploiting its shale resources to obtain oil, but the activity should be carried out with due caution after taking into account ant environmental concerns that might arise on account of it. Solar energy on the other hand is as clean a source of energy as it possibly can get. Besides, India gets a lot of sun, unlike many other countries in the Northern Hemisphere that do not. According to the National Institute of Solar Energy (NISE), India boasts a solar energy potential of 748 GW, if one were to assume 3% of waste land could be utilized for installing Solar PV modules.[3] The other important source of clean renewable energy has a lot going for it too. India already ranks fourth after China, the United States and Germany in terms of installed wind capacity at 42.8 GW (on-shore) as of April of 2023. Furthermore, the National Institute of Wind Energy has estimated that India has a wind power potential of around 695.5 GW at 120 metres above ground level and 1164 GW metres above ground level.[4]

As for green hydrogen, it may not be a very viable source of energy at present owing to its high cost of production at $3.6 to $5.8 a kg, bringing it down to between $1 to $2 by the end of the decade will not only make it the most affordable source of energy in the world but also make it possible for India to export it.[5] Another source of natural perennial energy in the country is geothermal energy. According to the records of the Geological Survey of India, there are some 340 hot water springs in India. All in all, one can look at the potential of generating 10600 MW of energy using this source of energy.[6]

The future energy map of India should be a diverse and self-reliant one that provides that nation with the wherewithal to stand on its own and char its destiny unaffected by geopolitical tailwinds and headwinds. This is something that should be looked at in a holistic and long-term manner using the best minds and most cutting-edge technology to achieve. Once done, the nation will inexorably reach its destiny. Right there at the top, not as an expansionist hegemonic power, but as a self-reliant gentl


[1] https://www.statista.com/statistics/263455/primary-energy-consumption-of-selected-countries/#:~:text=China%20is%20the%20largest%20consumer,such%20as%20oil%20and%20coal.

[2] https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1889967#:~:text=Petroleum%20%26%20Natural%20Gas-,India's%204%2Dplank%20energy%20security%20strategy%20is%20based%20on%20diversifying,by%202025%3A%20Hardeep%20Singh%20Puri.

[3] https://www.mondragon-assembly.com/?taxonomy=&term=noticias

[4] https://www.drishtiias.com/daily-updates/daily-news-analysis/india-wind-energy-potential#:~:text=Wind%20resource%20assessment%20by%20the,ground%20level%20across%20the%20nation.

[5] https://www.forbesindia.com/article/innovation/green-hydrogen-can-help-india-meet-its-netzero-ambitions-how-long-before-a-real-impact-is-seen/87937/1

[6] https://prepp.in/news/e-492-geothermal-energy-in-india---geography-notes

Monday, November 6, 2023

India should become an energy-independent nation

                                    Photo by Narcisa Aciko: https://www.pexels.com/photo/photo-of-wind-turbines-lot-1292464/

We live in a world that has become dangerously fraught with messy wars and conflicts in different parts of the world threatening to jeopardise a global order that had largely ensured peace in large parts of the globe in the decades since the end of the Second World War. In fact, the end of the Cold War between the West and the Soviet Union and its allies had raised the hopes of a permanent peace finally descending on most parts of our planet.

Alas, that was not to be as the events over the past two or three decades have shown us. It was the US that was the moving force behind the global order that ushered in peace, trade and unprecedented prosperity in more parts of the world than had ever been the case in the long history of mankind. The end of the Cold War led to the US losing interest in becoming the global guarantor of peace and security. Its involvement in the Middle East via the two Gulf Wars and Afghanistan was on account of the US needing to respond to the 9/11 terrorist attacks came to an end as soon as its strategic objectives were achieved.

The US today is more inward-looking than it was before its forced entry into the Second World War and focused mainly on securing the interests of its own people. The events in Ukraine and Israel may have forced it to engage more deeply with NATO and the Middle East for now, but it is not a long-term area of interest for it. The Americans are more deeply concerned with stymying the threat emerging from an increasingly aggressive and belligerent China that seeks to topple the US from its perch at the top-economically and militarily. For that, it has decided to ally with countries like India, Australia and Japan that lie in the Indo-Pacific region to contain the dragon and ensure that it does not flap its wings around the world the way it wants to.

This has more to do with ensuring that nothing threatens the US's preeminent position in the world and that it continues to be a hugely wealthy and powerful nation capable of exercising its writ around the world. That suits the Indo-Pacific nations as well as most of the world since it is a liberal democracy that offers a better way of doing things than the draconian and repressive way followed by totalitarian and despotic China.

The biggest advantage that the US has over most parts of the world is that it is totally self-sufficient when it comes to food and energy. That is something that the largest democracy in the world India could learn from the oldest continuous democracy in the world-the USA. It has already to its huge credit (considering it is the most populous country in the world) achieved self-sufficiency in the former. It is in becoming an energy-independent nation that India will find its true destiny.

The nation currently imports 84% of its crude oil requirements, leaving the economy susceptible to inflationary pressures on account of price and supply fluctuation in international energy markets.[1] The Economic Survey which was released some time back laid out an ambitious plan for making India energy-independent by 2047 and it hasn't come a day moment too soon in a nation of 140 billion people with gargantuan energy needs. As a matter of fact, a study released by the US Department of Energy's National Berkeley Lab came out with a report that India could achieve energy independence by 2047 with the help of clean technology.[2]

This may seem like a tall order but is eminently doable considering that most of the energy infrastructure required to meet its burgeoning energy needs is still to be built. There is an almost two-decade window of time to achieve this much-required and desired transition from fossil fuels to clean and environmentally friendly sources of energy. Doing so will enormously benefit India- economically, environmentally and strategically. It would be in a position of strength largely unrivalled in the world

 

 



[1] https://groww.in/blog/where-does-india-get-its-oil-supply

[2] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/blogs/the-write-wing/indias-energy-independence-by-2047-a-certainty/